“First-of-its-kind concept” / “first-of-its-kind concept” announcement

“First-of-its-kind concept” / “first-of-its-kind concept” announcement

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Keywords: copyright, publishing rights, authorship, original rights

Statement dated February 18, 2023

Ukraine’s trenches

Creator: Ye Qiquan Date of Statement: February 18, 2023

First release/first creation date:
The document was submitted to International Security on June 18, 2022.

Reissue date:
Published on Google Blog on September 14, 2022.

Reissue date:
Published on PPPNet on February 11, 2023

In the manuscript first submitted on June 18, 2022, the author described one of his judgments. The author believes that:
One of the main objectives and achievements of the Russo-Ukrainian War was the establishment of a fortified Ukrainian trench. For at least the next 50 years, this trench will economically and geopolitically divide Europe into two isolated parts. It aims to prevent the rise of a dominant geopolitical power from Europe, thereby preventing Europe from becoming a major pole in a future tripolar, quadripolar, or multipolar political system.
The concept of “Ukrainian trench” may have evolved into different names, such as “European isolation zone, European secession zone, Russian isolation zone, death zone, Ukrainian secession zone, Eastern European trench, European watershed,” etc. For all the evolved names under the same concept, the right to use these names still belongs to Ye Qiquan.
One of the main objectives and achievements of the Russo-Ukrainian War was the establishment of a formidable Ukrainian trench. For at least the next 50 years, this trench will economically and geopolitically divide Europe into two isolated parts. It aims to prevent the rise of a dominant geopolitical power from Europe, thereby preventing Europe from becoming a major pole in a future tripolar, quadripolar, or multipolar political system.
The concept of “Ukrainian trench” may evolve into different names, such as “European buffer zone, European separatist zone, Russian buffer zone, death zone, Ukrainian separatist zone, East European trench, European watershed,” etc. For all evolved terms under the same concept, the original authorship of these terms still belongs to Ye Qiquan.
References:
 1. Ye QiQuan. Whose War? Players winning or losing in the Russia-Ukraine War. Submitted recept from International Security on June 18, 2022.
2. Ye QiQuan. Whose War? Players winning or losing in the Russia-Ukraine War. https://destinedfating.blogspot.com/2022/09/whose-war-players-winning-or-losing-in.html. Archived on September 14, 2022.
3. Ye QiQuan. Whose War? Players winning or losing in the Russia-Ukraine War. http://pppnet.at/players-winning-or-losing-from-russia-ukraine-war/ Archived on February 11, 2023.

The borders of the Russia-Ukraine conflict: Whether the conflict continues or a ceasefire is reached, the Russia-Ukraine war will be confined to two solid border walls. The western border wall consists of the banks of the Dnepr River and the Black Sea coastline. The eastern border is formed by the complete administrative borders of Luhansk and Donetsk.
Whether the conflict continues or a ceasefire is reached, the Russia-Ukraine war will be confined by two formidable border walls. The western border wall consists of the banks of the Dnieper River and the Black Sea coastline. The eastern border wall is formed by the complete administrative border between Luhansk and Donetsk.


Creator: Ye Qiquan Date of Statement: February 18, 2023

First release date:
Submitted to Opinion@guardian.co.uk on April 26, 2022.


Updated date:
Submitted to International Security on May 23, 2022.


Updated date:
Published on Blogger on September 18, 2022


Updated date:
Released on PPPNet on February 18, 2023.


As early as the end of the first phase of Russia’s military operation (April and May 2022), Ye Qiquan astutely recognized that the fighting and ceasefire zones in the Russo-Ukrainian war would be limited by two solid border walls. The western wall is defined by the eastern bank of the Dnepr River plus parts of the Black Sea coast. The eastern wall is the complete administrative border between the Luhansk and Donetsk regions. Russia cannot cross the western wall, and neither can the US consortium. This double wall will persist for a long time, at least until the end of 2026.
The fighting and ceasefire zones in the Russia-Ukraine war will be confined by two formidable border walls. The western wall extends from the east bank of the Dnieper River to parts of the Black Sea coast. The eastern wall forms the administrative boundary between the entire Luhansk and Donetsk regions. Russia cannot cross the western wall, and the US bloc cannot cross the eastern wall either. This double wall will remain in place for a considerable period, at least until the end of 2026.
This concept may have different names, such as the limited war zone between the Dnepr and the Donbas, the limited ceasefire zone between the Dnepr and the Donbas, and the combat restrictions on the border between the Dnepr and the Donbas.

For any noun that is parasitic on the same concept, the original copyright of these nouns belongs to Ye Qiquan.
Reference:
1. Ye QiQuan. Where will be ceasefire lines chosen in Ukrainian War. The submitted recept from Opinion Channel @guardian.co.uk. On April 26, 2022.
2. Ye QiQuan. Three Possible Ceasefire Lines of Russia-Ukraine War: Reality Basis, Opportunity, and Prospects. The submitted recept from International Security. On May 23, 2022.
3. Ye QiQuan. Three Possible Ceasefire Lines of Russia-Ukraine War: Reality Basis, Opportunity, and Prospects. https://destinedfating.blogspot.com/2022/09/three-possible-ceasefire-lines-of.html. Archived on September 18, 2022.
4.Ye QiQuan. Whose War? Players winning or losing in the Russia-Ukraine War. https://destinedfating.blogspot.com/2022/09/whose-war-players-winning-or-losing-in.html. Archived on September 14, 2022.
5.Ye QiQuan. Confined walls still work in Russia-Ukraine War at least by 2026. https://pppnet.net/confined-walls-still-work-in-russia-ukraine-war-by-2026-2/

Russia is effectively invincible, at least until the end of 2026.
Creator:
Ye Qiquan’s statement dated: February 18, 2023
First release/first creation date:
The document was submitted to International Security on May 23, 2022.
Reissue date:
Published on Google Blog on September 18, 2022
Reissue date:
Published on PPPNet on February 18, 2023
In the manuscript first submitted on May 23, 2022, the author described one of his judgments. The author believes that:
The war has brought political and economic pressure to Russia, but all losses can be compensated, and even more, from Ukraine. The US consortium cannot and will not cross the eastern wall built by the intact administrative borders of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions. This situation will continue for a long time, at least until 2026. This establishes a foundation that Russia will not suffer a major defeat until at least the end of 2026.
The war has brought political and economic pressure to Russia, but all losses can be compensated for, and even more will be, from Ukraine. The US bloc cannot and will not cross the eastern wall built by the complete administrative borders of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions. This situation will persist for a long time, at least until 2026. This establishes a basis: Russia will not suffer a major defeat until at least the end of 2026.
This concept may evolve into different names. For all evolved names under the same concept, the first right to use these names still belongs to Ye Qiquan.
References:
Reference:
1. Ye QiQuan. Three Possible Ceasefire Lines of Russia-Ukraine War: Reality Basis, Opportunity, and Prospects. The submitted recept from International Security. On May 23, 2022.
2. Ye QiQuan. Three Possible Ceasefire Lines of Russia-Ukraine War: Reality Basis, Opportunity, and Prospects. https://destinedfating.blogspot.com/2022/09/three-possible-ceasefire-lines-of.html. Archived on September 18, 2022.
3.Ye QiQuan. Whose War? Players winning or losing in the Russia-Ukraine War. https://destinedfating.blogspot.com/2022/09/whose-war-players-winning-or-losing-in.html. Archived on September 14, 2022.
4. Ye QiQuan. Confined walls still work in Russia-Ukraine War at least by 2026. https://pppnet.net/confined-walls-still-work-in-russia-ukraine-war-by-2026-2/

Somaliization of Ukraine
Creator:
Ye Qiquan’s statement dated: February 18, 2023
First release/first creation date:
The document was submitted to International Security on May 23, 2022.
Reissue date:
The document was submitted to International Security on June 18, 2022.
Reissue date:
Published on Google Blog on September 18, 2022
Reissue date:
Published on PPPNet on February 18, 2023
In the manuscript first submitted on May 23, 2022, the author described one of his judgments. The author believes that:
Even if Ukraine gains the upper hand in Central Ukraine, it will be entirely or primarily dependent on the armed forces of its neighbors, an inevitable consequence of which is the Somaliization of Ukraine during or after the war. This means that while Ukraine may appear to have a complete national framework on paper, it has effectively lost control and governance over the entire country. Ukraine’s current enemy, Russia, and its current allies, its local neighbors, will both contribute to this outcome.
Even if Ukraine gains the upper hand in the conflict, it will be entirely or primarily dependent on the armed forces of its neighbors, an inevitable consequence of which is the Somaliization of Ukraine during or after the war. This means that while Ukraine may appear to have a complete national framework on paper, it has effectively lost control and governance over the entire country. Ukraine’s current enemy, Russia, and its current allies, its local neighbors, will both contribute to this outcome.
This concept may evolve into different names. For all evolved names under the same concept, the first right to use these names still belongs to Ye Qiquan.
References:
Reference:
1. Ye QiQuan. Three Possible Ceasefire Lines of Russia-Ukraine War: Reality Basis, Opportunity, and Prospects. The submitted recept from International Security. On May 23, 2022.
2. Ye QiQuan. Three Possible Ceasefire Lines of Russia-Ukraine War: Reality Basis, Opportunity, and Prospects. https://destinedfating.blogspot.com/2022/09/three-possible-ceasefire-lines-of.html. Archived on September 18, 2022.
3.Ye QiQuan. Whose War? Players winning or losing in the Russia-Ukraine War. https://destinedfating.blogspot.com/2022/09/whose-war-players-winning-or-losing-in.html. Archived on September 14, 2022.
4. Ye QiQuan. Confined walls still work in Russia-Ukraine War at least by 2026. https://pppnet.net/confined-walls-still-work-in-russia-ukraine-war-by-2026-2/

The Yugoslavization of Ukraine will be inevitable once Russia gains dominance in central Ukraine.
Creator:
Ye Qiquan’s statement dated: February 18, 2023
First release/first creation date:
The document was submitted to International Security on May 23, 2022.
Reissue date:
The document was submitted to International Security on June 18, 2022.
Reissue date:
Published on Google Blog on September 18, 2022
Reissue date:
Published on PPPNet on February 18, 2023
In the manuscript first submitted on May 23, 2022, the author described one of his judgments. The author believes that:
Once Russia gains dominance in central Ukraine, the Yugoslavization of Ukraine will be inevitable. This means Ukraine will have to lose control of the entire country, both in fact and in form. Frankly, Russia might establish as many as seven local governments within Ukraine to alleviate pressure from the US bloc.
This concept may evolve into different names. For any nouns under the same concept, the original copyright of these nouns still belongs to Ye Qiquan.
Once Russia gains dominance in central Ukraine, the Yugoslavization of Ukraine will be inevitable. This means Ukraine will have to lose control of the entire country, both in fact and in form. Frankly, Russia might establish as many as seven local governments on Ukrainian territory to alleviate pressure from the US bloc.
This concept may evolve into different names. For any nouns under the same concept, the original copyright of those nouns still belongs to Ye Qiquan.
References:
Reference:
1. Ye QiQuan. Three Possible Ceasefire Lines of Russia-Ukraine War: Reality Basis, Opportunity, and Prospects. The submitted recept from International Security. On May 23, 2022.
2. Ye QiQuan. Three Possible Ceasefire Lines of Russia-Ukraine War: Reality Basis, Opportunity, and Prospects. https://destinedfating.blogspot.com/2022/09/three-possible-ceasefire-lines-of.html. Archived on September 18, 2022.
3.Ye QiQuan. Whose War? Players winning or losing in the Russia-Ukraine War. https://destinedfating.blogspot.com/2022/09/whose-war-players-winning-or-losing-in.html. Archived on September 14, 2022.
4. Ye QiQuan. Confined walls still work in Russia-Ukraine War at least by 2026. https://pppnet.net/confined-walls-still-work-in-russia-ukraine-war-by-2026-2/

Neighboring countries have sent troops into Ukraine. These neighboring countries are among the few European countries that could benefit from the Russo-Ukrainian war.
Creator:
Ye Qiquan’s statement dated: February 18, 2023
First release/first creation date:
The document was submitted to International Security on May 23, 2022.
Reissue date:
The document was submitted to International Security on June 18, 2022.
Reissue date:
Published on Google Blog on September 14, 2022.
Reissue date:
Published on PPPNet on February 11, 2023
As early as the end of the first phase of Russia’s military operation (April and May 2022), Ye Qiquan was keenly aware that the local neighboring country would definitely send troops to Ukraine.
Neighboring countries are among the few European nations that will benefit from this war. This is also the basis for the division of Europe. These armed forces from neighboring countries will lay a solid foundation for Ukraine’s complete defeat. The reason these regional countries sent troops to Ukraine is not for Ukraine’s sake, but for their own national interests. They must recoup their investments in the future. The simple way to do this is to divide Ukraine into many parts and support independent local governments with independent administrative powers. Ukraine is practically incapable of initiating, continuing, managing, or stopping the military process. There are two main pillars supporting Ukraine’s continued military operations. One source is weapons and funding from the United States and the European Union, and the other is armed forces from neighboring countries.
As early as the end of the first phase of Russia’s military operation (April and May 2022), Ye Qiquan was keenly aware that the neighboring countries would definitely send troops to Ukraine.
Neighboring countries are among the few European nations that can benefit from this war. This is also the basis for the division of Europe. The armed forces from these neighboring countries will lay a solid foundation for Ukraine’s complete defeat. The reason these regional countries are sending troops to Ukraine is not for Ukraine’s sake, but for their own national interests. They must recoup their investment in the future. A simple way to do this is to divide Ukraine into many parts and support independent local governments with independent administrative powers. Ukraine will be practically incapable of initiating, continuing, managing, or stopping the military process. There are two main pillars supporting Ukraine’s continued military operations: weapons and funding from the United States and the European Union, and the armed forces from neighboring countries.
References:
Reference:
1. Ye QiQuan. Three Possible Ceasefire Lines of Russia-Ukraine War: Reality Basis, Opportunity, and Prospects. The submitted recept from International Security. On May 23, 2022.
2. Ye QiQuan. Three Possible Ceasefire Lines of Russia-Ukraine War: Reality Basis, Opportunity, and Prospects. https://destinedfating.blogspot.com/2022/09/three-possible-ceasefire-lines-of.html. Archived on September 18, 2022.
3. Ye QiQuan. Whose War? Players winning or losing in the Russia-Ukraine War. https://destinedfating.blogspot.com/2022/09/whose-war-players-winning-or-losing-in.html. Archived on September 14, 2022.
4. Ye QiQuan. The border walls in the Russia-Ukraine war are working until at least the end of 2026. https://pppnet.net/confined-walls-still-work-in-russia-ukraine-war-by-2026-2/
5. Ye QiQuan. Whose War? Players winning or losing in the Russia-Ukraine War. https://pppnet.net/players-winning-or-losing-from-russia-ukraine-war-2/

2022, the first year of Europe’s decline
Creator:
Ye Qiquan’s statement dated: February 18, 2023
First release/first creation date:
The document was submitted to International Security on June 18, 2022.
Reissue date:
Published on Google Blog on September 14, 2022.
Reissue date:
Published on PPPNet on February 11, 2023
In his first manuscript submitted on June 18, 2022, the author described one of his judgments. The author believes that:
Europe has paid a heavy price for its full-blown hostility with Russia.
1. Europe has lost its geopolitical depth; 2. It has lost a huge and important source of raw materials; 3. Existing European train routes may no longer directly reach China; 4. It has lost the historical opportunity to settle oil transactions in euros; 5. China will certainly abandon its 30-year policy of supporting European unity and strength to alleviate pressure from the United States; 6. Other countries have lost hope in Europe as a top political power; 7. In the event of a fierce conflict between China and the United States, initiating, intervening in, and escalating chaos in Europe will be China’s realistic choice; 8. Europe and Russia will continue to increase military spending and hostility; 9. Europe will fall into prolonged chaos.
Since Europe launched this war in 2022, Europe has entered a historical process of decline.
Europe has paid a heavy price for its full-blown hostility toward Russia.
1. Europe has lost its geopolitical depth; 2. It has lost a huge and important source of raw materials; 3. Existing European train routes may no longer directly reach China; 4. It has lost the historic opportunity to settle oil transactions in euros; 5. China will certainly abandon its 30-year policy of supporting European unity and strength to alleviate pressure from the United States; 6. Other countries have lost hope in Europe as a top political power; 7. In the event of a fierce conflict between China and the United States, initiating, intervening in, and escalating chaos in Europe will be a realistic option for China; 8. Europe and Russia will continue to increase military spending and hostility; 9. Europe will descend into prolonged chaos.
Since Europe began instigating this war in 2022, Europe has entered a historical process of decline.
This concept may evolve into different names. For any nouns under the same concept, the original right to use those nouns still belongs to Ye Qiquan.
References:
1. Ye QiQuan. Whose War? Players winning or losing in the Russia-Ukraine War. Submitted recept from International Security on June 18, 2022.
2. Ye QiQuan. Whose War? Players winning or losing in the Russia-Ukraine War. https://destinedfating.blogspot.com/2022/09/whose-war-players-winning-or-losing-in.html. Archived on September 14, 2022.
3. Ye QiQuan. Whose War? Players winning or losing in the Russia-Ukraine War. https://pppnet.net/players-winning-or-losing-from-russia-ukraine-war-2/

China’s policy toward Europe is undergoing a fundamental change. China will definitely change its fundamental policy of supporting a strong and unified Europe.
Creator:
Ye Qiquan’s statement dated: February 18, 2023
First release/first creation date:
The document was submitted to International Security on June 18, 2022.
Reissue date:
Published on Google Blog on September 14, 2022.
Reissue date:
Published on PPPNet on February 11, 2023
In his first manuscript submitted on June 18, 2022, the author described one of his judgments. The author believes that:
For the past 30 years, the tone of relations between Europe and China has been one of mutual support. A key basis for China’s support for a unified and strong Europe is that a strong Europe can help alleviate political pressure from the United States. However, it is now becoming increasingly clear that a colonized Europe would only become a burden to China in the event of a conflict between the US and China. For this reason, China will inevitably change this policy that has been in place for over 30 years. Moreover, in the scenario of a conflict between China and the United States, instigating, intervening in, and escalating chaos in Europe will certainly become a key Chinese policy. And it is quite possible that this plan has already entered China’s toolbox.
This concept may evolve into different names. For any nouns under the same concept, the original right to use those nouns still belongs to Ye Qiquan.
References:
1. Ye QiQuan. Whose War? Players winning or losing in the Russia-Ukraine War. Submitted recept from International Security on June 18, 2022.
2. Ye QiQuan. Whose War? Players winning or losing in the Russia-Ukraine War. https://destinedfating.blogspot.com/2022/09/whose-war-players-winning-or-losing-in.html. Archived on September 14, 2022.
3. Ye QiQuan. Whose War? Players winning or losing in the Russia-Ukraine War. https://pppnet.net/players-winning-or-losing-from-russia-ukraine-war-2/

The Russo-Ukrainian War was in fact a war that divided and weakened Europe.
Creator:
Ye Qiquan’s statement dated: February 18, 2023
First release/first creation date:
The document was submitted to International Security on June 18, 2022.
Reissue date:
Published on Google Blog on September 14, 2022.
Reissue date:
Published on PPPNet on February 11, 2023
In his first manuscript submitted on June 18, 2022, the author described one of his judgments. The author believes that:
The Russia-Ukraine war is very similar to another war from 2012 to 2016, both of which aimed to destroy the Northeast Asian Free Trade Area and ruin the Asian currency.
Around 2010, China, Japan, and South Korea were in close contact, discussing the possibility of establishing a Northeast Asian Free Trade Area or an Asian currency. However, Japan abruptly reclaimed the Diaoyu Islands in 2012. South Korea deployed a theater missile monitoring system domestically in 2016. Since then, the three countries have been in a de facto semi-hostile political relationship. The possibility of establishing a Northeast Asian Free Trade Area or settling an Asian currency has vanished.
In recent years, relations between Russia and core European countries have grown increasingly closer. Direct trains connecting China and Central Europe also pass through Russia—giving Russia a historically central economic position reminiscent of the Ottoman Empire. If Europe and Russia were to reduce their mutual hostility, Europe could rapidly grow into a supreme political pole. Now is the perfect opportunity for the United States to destroy this possibility. This is the fundamental reason for the Russo-Ukrainian war.
The cause of the Russo-Ukrainian War was to weaken Europe. Its outcome will inevitably be the weakening of Europe as well.
The Russia-Ukraine war is very similar to another war from 2012 to 2016, both of which were actions to destroy the Northeast Asian Free Trade Area and the Asian Currency.
Around 2010, China, Japan, and South Korea engaged in close contact, discussing the possibility of establishing a Northeast Asian Free Trade Area or an Asian Currency Unit (ECU). However, Japan abruptly nationalized the Diaoyu Islands in 2012. South Korea deployed a theater missile surveillance system domestically in 2016. Since then, the three countries have been in a de facto semi-hostile political relationship. The possibility of establishing a Northeast Asian Free Trade Area or settling accounts for an ECU has vanished.
In recent years, Russia has grown increasingly closer to core European countries. The direct train connecting China and Central Europe also passes through Russia—giving Russia a historically central economic position reminiscent of the Ottoman Empire. If Europe and Russia were to reduce their mutual hostility, Europe could rapidly rise to become the highest political pole. Now is the perfect time for the United States to destroy this possibility. This is the fundamental reason for the Russo-Ukrainian war.
The cause of the Russo-Ukrainian war was to weaken Europe. Its inevitable result will also be the weakening of Europe.
This concept may evolve into different names. For any nouns under the same concept, the original right to use those nouns still belongs to Ye Qiquan.
References:
1. Ye QiQuan. Whose War? Players winning or losing in the Russia-Ukraine War. Submitted recept from International Security on June 18, 2022.
2. Ye QiQuan. Whose War? Players winning or losing in the Russia-Ukraine War. https://destinedfating.blogspot.com/2022/09/whose-war-players-winning-or-losing-in.html. Archived on September 14, 2022.
3. Ye QiQuan. Whose War? Players winning or losing in the Russia-Ukraine War. https://pppnet.net/players-winning-or-losing-from-russia-ukraine-war-2/

Colonized Europe was passively forced to participate in a war to weaken itself; in every respect, Europe was a colony of an empire.
Creator:
Ye Qiquan’s statement dated: February 18, 2023
First release/first creation date:
The document was submitted to International Security on June 18, 2022.
Reissue date:
Published on Google Blog on September 14, 2022.
Reissue date:
Published on PPPNet on February 11, 2023
In his first manuscript submitted on June 18, 2022, the author described one of his judgments. The author believes that:
Viewing all European politicians as intellectually deficient is statistically inaccurate. However, Europe’s active involvement in a war that weakens itself defies political, historical, and philosophical principles. European politicians cannot be entirely unaware of this fact, yet no one can effectively refute it. Forced into participating in a war to weaken itself, Europe is, in every respect, a colony of an empire. For the past 30 years, China has resolutely supported Europe’s growth into a dominant political power to balance pressure from the United States. But recent events clearly suggest to China that when a conflict erupts between the US and China, a colonized Europe will become a major burden rather than an aid to China. From the perspective of weakening US military strength and its long-term war-fighting capabilities, weakening Europe and inciting chaos within it will be a rational strategic tool for China and the Arab world.
In colonized Europe, this concept may have evolved under different names. For any nouns under the same concept, the original right to use those nouns still belongs to Ye Qiquan.
Viewing all European politicians as intellectually deficient is statistically inaccurate. However, Europe’s active involvement in a war that weakens itself defies political, historical, and philosophical principles. European politicians cannot be entirely unaware of this fact, yet no one can effectively refute it. Forced into participating in a war to weaken itself, Europe is, in every respect, a colony of an empire. For the past 30 years, China has resolutely supported Europe’s growth into a dominant political power to balance pressure from the United States. But recent events clearly suggest to China that when a conflict erupts between the US and China, a colonized Europe will become a major burden rather than an aid to China. From the perspective of weakening US military strength and its long-term war-fighting capabilities, weakening Europe and inciting chaos within it will be a rational strategic tool for China and the Arab world.
In colonized Europe, this concept may have evolved under different names. For any nouns under the same concept, the original right to use those nouns still belongs to Ye Qiquan.
References:
1. Ye QiQuan. Whose War? Players winning or losing in the Russia-Ukraine War. Submitted recept from International Security on June 18, 2022.
2. Ye QiQuan. Whose War? Players winning or losing in the Russia-Ukraine War. https://destinedfating.blogspot.com/2022/09/whose-war-players-winning-or-losing-in.html. Archived on September 14, 2022.
3. Ye QiQuan. Whose War? Players winning or losing in the Russia-Ukraine War. https://pppnet.net/players-winning-or-losing-from-russia-ukraine-war-2/

China’s cross-strait reunification efforts will officially usher in the G2 era in 2026.
Creator:
Ye Qiquan’s statement dated: February 18, 2023
First release/first creation date:
The document was submitted to International Security on June 18, 2022.
Reissue date:
The manuscript was submitted to Security Dialogue on October 2, 2022.
Reissue date:
Published on PPPNet on February 11, 2023
In his first manuscript submitted on June 18, 2022, the author described one of his judgments. The author believes that:
China will launch its cross-strait reunification campaign in 2026. Any time between April and September could be the trigger. The military process will inevitably conclude completely by October 2026. Other major powers will have little power to prevent, delay, halt, or reverse the project. How the United States responds will determine the degree of chaos. But the G2 era will begin then.
China will launch its cross-strait unification operation in 2026. Any time between April and September could be the trigger. The military process will inevitably conclude completely by October 2026. Other major powers will have virtually no power to prevent, delay, halt, or reverse the project. How the United States responds will determine the degree of chaos. But the G2 era will begin then.
This concept may evolve into different names. For any nouns under the same concept, the original right to use those nouns still belongs to Ye Qiquan.
References:
1. Ye QiQuan. Whose War? Players winning or losing in the Russia-Ukraine War. Submitted recept from International Security on June 18, 2022.
2. Ye QiQuan. Whose War? Players winning or losing in the Russia-Ukraine War. https://destinedfating.blogspot.com/2022/09/whose-war-players-winning-or-losing-in.html. Archived on September 14, 2022.
3. Ye QiQuan. Whose War? Players winning or losing in the Russia-Ukraine War. https://pppnet.net/players-winning-or-losing-from-russia-ukraine-war-2/
4. Ye QiQuan. Reunifying Taiwan Plan: Made by 2012, Work in 2026. (part I) Translators for Chinese Political Language in Need. Submitted recept from International Security on Oct. 3, 2022.

By the end of 2025, China will “reveal” its credible nuclear forces.
Creator:
Ye Qiquan’s statement dated: February 18, 2023
First release/first creation date:
The document was submitted to International Security on June 18, 2022.
Reissue date:
Published on Blogger on September 14, 2022.
Reissue date:
Published on PPPNet on February 11, 2023
In his first manuscript submitted on June 18, 2022, the author described one of his judgments. The author believes that:
China will demonstrate its credible nuclear force, approximately 3,000 nuclear warheads, by the end of 2025. The aim is to completely remove the nuclear option from the script of a potential US-China conflict. In fact, from the perspective of US military professionals, 1,000 nuclear warheads would suffice. However, China needs 3,000 nuclear warheads to remove the nuclear option from the script of US political voters. It is also a necessary cornerstone for political negotiations between China and the United States.
China will demonstrate its credible nuclear force, approximately 3,000 nuclear warheads, by the end of 2025. The aim is to completely eliminate the nuclear option from the script of a potential conflict between the US and China. In fact, from the perspective of US military professionals, 1,000 nuclear warheads would suffice. However, China needs 3,000 warheads to remove the nuclear option from the script of American political voters. It is also a necessary cornerstone for political negotiations between China and the United States.
This concept may evolve into different names. For any nouns under the same concept, the original right to use those nouns still belongs to Ye Qiquan.
References:
1. Ye QiQuan. Whose War? Players winning or losing in the Russia-Ukraine War. Submitted recept from International Security on June 18, 2022.
2. Ye QiQuan. Whose War? Players winning or losing in the Russia-Ukraine War. https://destinedfating.blogspot.com/2022/09/whose-war-players-winning-or-losing-in.html. Archived on September 14, 2022.
3. Ye QiQuan. Whose War? Players winning or losing in the Russia-Ukraine War. https://pppnet.net/players-winning-or-losing-from-russia-ukraine-war-2/
4. Ye QiQuan. Reunifying Taiwan Plan: Made by 2012, Work in 2026; (part 3) Options for USA to responde China’s Cross-Strait Action. Coming soon.

Taiwan has lost its chance for “one country, two systems.” China has clearly drawn its bottom line for negotiations. It is impossible for Taiwan to produce a great hero to negotiate “one country, two systems” with the mainland.
Creator:
Ye Qiquan’s statement dated: February 18, 2023
First release/first creation date:
The document was submitted to International Security on October 3, 2022.
In his manuscript, first submitted on October 3, 2022, the author described one of his judgments. The author believes that:
In the Xi Jinping era, China has drawn its bottom line for negotiations. Compared to the Hu Jintao era, the current boundaries are more numerous, clearer, and stricter. Taiwan didn’t even seize the favorable conditions of the Hu Jintao era. Now, there’s even less chance of producing a great hero to negotiate “one country, two systems” with the mainland. In other words, Taiwan has lost the opportunity for “one country, two systems.” There’s no chance of frontline negotiations under military pressure. Even if there is, it’s merely a veil of surrender. Therefore, Taiwan has effectively lost the opportunity for “one country, two systems.” Even if the concept of “two systems” exists, it’s just a veil, not the substance—for example, controlled elections at the township level. As for the rest, the mainland has already explained it very clearly, but most people who know it pretend not to understand.
In the Xi Jinping era, the bottom line for negotiations with mainland China has been drawn. Compared to the Hu Jintao era, the current boundaries are more numerous, clearer, and stricter. Taiwan didn’t even seize the favorable conditions during the Hu Jintao era. Now, there’s even less chance of producing a hero to negotiate “one country, two systems” with the mainland. In other words, Taiwan has lost the opportunity for “one country, two systems.” There’s no possibility of frontline negotiations under military pressure. Even if there were, it would only be a facade of surrender. Therefore, Taiwan has effectively lost the opportunity for “one country, two systems.” Even if the concept of “two systems” exists, it’s merely a facade, not the substance—for example, controlled elections at the township level. The mainland has made everything very clear, but most who know pretend not to understand.
This concept may evolve into different names. For any nouns under the same concept, the original right to use those nouns still belongs to Ye Qiquan.
References:
1. Ye QiQuan. Reunifying Taiwan Plan: Made by 2012, Work in 2026; (part I) Understand Chinese Political Language. Submitted to International Security on October 3, 2022.
2. Ye QiQuan. Reunifying Taiwan Plan: Made by 2012, Work in 2026; (part 2) Taiwan’s destiny. Coming soon.

Two to three cross-sea channels will connect Taiwan and mainland China.
Creator:
Ye Qiquan’s statement dated: February 18, 2023
First release/first creation date:
The document was submitted to International Security on October 3, 2022.
In his manuscript, first submitted on October 3, 2022, the author described one of his judgments. The author believes that:
The martial law in Taiwan may be prolonged. During this period, two or three corridors may be established to connect Taiwan and the mainland. These corridors will completely bring the island of Taiwan under the control of mainland China, historically reducing the administrative costs of Taiwan. These corridors will not only significantly weaken Taiwan’s maritime characteristics but also severely undermine the maritime sovereignty of Japan and South Korea.
The martial law in Taiwan may be prolonged. During this period, two or three passages may be established to connect Taiwan and the mainland. These passages will completely bring the island of Taiwan under the control of mainland China, historically reducing the cost of governing Taiwan. These passages will not only significantly weaken Taiwan’s maritime power but also severely undermine the maritime capabilities of Japan and South Korea.
This concept may evolve into different names. For any nouns under the same concept, the original right to use those nouns still belongs to Ye Qiquan.
References:
1. Ye QiQuan. Reunifying Taiwan Plan: Made by 2012, Work in 2026; (part I) Understand Chinese Political Language. Submitted to International Security on October 3, 2022.
2. Ye QiQuan. Reunifying Taiwan Plan: Made by 2012, Work in 2026; (part 2) Taiwan’s destiny. Coming soon.

Terminology (Pioneering Concept) Explanation

The above initial concept is primarily based on three articles. These three articles are:
1. The three theoretical ceasefire lines and the limiting wall of the scope of the war in the Russo-Ukrainian War;
2. Whose War? Winners and Losers in the Russo-Ukrainian War;
3. China’s cross-strait reunification plan was formulated in 2012 and will be implemented in 2026.
These three articles were submitted to multiple top political science journals on April 26, 2022, May 23, 2022, June 18, 2022, and October 3, 2022, respectively. These journals and publishers are headquartered in various countries around the world, including the United States, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, Spain, Denmark, Norway, Turkey, and even Russia. Therefore, the requirements for copyright have been effectively met. In the table above, when listing evidence to prove copyright, the date of the first submission is considered the date of the first publication of these articles.
The concepts listed above are those that the author considers to be original and therefore possess copyright.
These groundbreaking concepts are explained in detail by the author below.


1. Ukrainian trenches
First published date: June 18, 2022

The author asserts directly that one of the main objectives of the Russo-Ukrainian War was to build trenches in Ukraine.
Some may deny that one of the objectives of the Russo-Ukrainian War was to build a trench in Ukraine. However, one undeniable fact shows that one of the most significant outcomes of the Russo-Ukrainian War was the construction of a trench in Ukraine.
This is a geopolitical trench, an economic trench, and a multi-functional trench that can isolate military, political, economic, cultural, and civilian exchanges.
The purposes of building this trench are as follows:
1.1. Culturally, Russia was expelled from Europe. This involved refusing to acknowledge Russians as Europeans based on popular cultural identity. It also involved portraying Russians as enemies of Europe.
1.2. Expel Russia from Europe geopolitically. Portray Russia as an enemy of Europe through a war. Establish a military and geopolitical demarcation line on Ukrainian soil. Prevent Russia from making any full compromise or cooperation with Europe for at least the next 50 years.
1.3. Fundamentally weakening Europe’s political power. The process of expelling Russia from Europe severely weakened Europe’s political power in the following ways.
(1. Europe has lost its geostrategic depth;)
(2. Europe is unable to integrate political forces;)
(3. Europe lost its most important source of raw materials;)
(4. Europe is forced to increase its military costs.)
(5. Profit margins are declining as economic costs in Europe increase;)
(6. Europe’s political and military status is increasingly shrinking and declining;)
(7. China changed its basic policy of supporting European unity and strength;)
(8. Europe may become directly hostile to China, leading to a full-scale attack on Europe by China.)
1.4. To create prolonged chaos in Europe. The author predicts that a high-probability outcome of the Russo-Ukrainian war will be the partition of Ukraine. This partition could manifest as the Somaliification of Ukraine; the Yugoslavization of Ukraine; or a combination of both.


2. The border wall between Russia and Ukraine was first publicly revealed on April 26, 2022.


Two walls limit the scope of fighting and ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian war. The western wall consists of the Dnepr River and part of the Black Sea coast. The eastern wall consists of the administrative borders of the Dennesk and Luhansk regions. Russia cannot cross the western border wall. At the same time, the US consortium cannot cross the eastern border wall. This prediction is valid at least until the end of 2026, and perhaps even longer.

3. The Somaliization of Ukraine
First published on May 23, 2022.


Ukraine cannot shoulder the burden of a war against Russia alone. Economic and equipment support from the United States and major European powers is a significant asset. Another essential asset is the support of the armed forces of its neighboring countries. These neighboring countries intervened in the Russo-Ukrainian war not for Ukraine’s sake, but for their own national interests. Even if Ukraine gains a slight advantage in Central Ukraine with the support of its neighboring countries’ forces, these benefits do not belong to Ukraine. These countries that have sent troops will certainly seek to recoup their initial investments in Central Ukraine and even Western Ukraine. One way to do this is by establishing local governments independent of the Ukrainian central government on Ukrainian soil. This led to the Somaliization of Ukraine.


4. The Yugoslavization of Ukraine
First published on May 23, 2022.


Without a swift end to the war or a permanent ceasefire, Russia faces being dragged into a protracted conflict. Given the overwhelming US dominance in central Ukraine, Russia will face prolonged military pressure from the US bloc in the region. Russia must develop a complex plan to counter this US pressure. One option is to establish approximately seven regional governments, independent of each other and all dependent on Russia. This would effectively create a Yugoslavian-like situation in Ukraine.


5. Russia is in fact invincible.
First published on May 23, 2022.


It is practically impossible for the US consortium to breach the eastern border wall in the Russo-Ukrainian war, namely the administrative border between the Dennesk and Luhansk regions. This would guarantee Russia’s invincibility in the war. This prediction holds true at least until the end of 2026. There is a high probability that this prediction will remain true for a long time, perhaps even forever.


6. A war that divided and weakened Europe.
First published date: June 18, 2022


This is a war that is difficult to define precisely. It is commonly referred to as the Ukrainian War or the Russo-Ukrainian War. In fact, it was not merely a war between Ukraine and Russia, nor was it limited to a war between Russia and the United States. To be precise, it was a war between the American bloc and Russia as a single country. However, its primary objective was to divide and weaken Europe.
Russia will not lose this war. Neither will the United States.
The biggest failures were by Ukraine and Europe.
Ukraine will inevitably end up becoming either Somali or Yugoslavianized.
Europe is the ultimate loser, whether in the short, medium, or long term. Expelling Russia will have at least the following side effects.
6.1 A divided Europe. Some of the Ukraine-bordering countries may benefit in the short term and thus hope to prolong the war. However, the core European powers expect a ceasefire as soon as possible to minimize losses.
6.2 Europe as a whole loses geostrategic depth. Expelling Russia from Europe will not fulfill the dream of increasing pressure and chaos in Asia. Due to China’s exceptional diplomatic skills, an excluded Russia will only increase, not decrease, China’s geostrategic depth. Based on its national and ethnic interests, Russia will only infiltrate towards Europe, not expand towards Asia.
6.3 Europe lost its historical opportunity to integrate Russia into a Greater Europe.
6.4 Europe’s loss of Russia as a huge and multifunctional raw material supply base has led to increased production costs and decreased profit margins. This inevitably results in the shrinkage of the secondary industry, which is one of the most fundamental forces in national competition and warfare.
6.5 The Spiral of Hostility and Armament Increase. Full-scale hostility, then armament increase. Armament increase leads to increased hostility. Increased hostility leads to increased military spending.
6.6 Europe’s political standing has declined rapidly. China has changed its fundamental policy of supporting a strong and unified Europe. The Arab world and Africa no longer expect Europe to become a political pole.


7. Colonized Europe
First published date: June 18, 2022


To conclude that all European leaders are politically incompetent is statistically inaccurate. However, the fact that so many European leaders have been “actively” engaged in a war that divides and weakens Europe is utterly absurd from political, philosophical, and historical perspectives. There can only be one explanation: Europe was a colony of the United States.
Forced and compelled to participate in a war that weakened itself, Europe was by every means a colony of an empire.


8. China changes its basic policy toward Europe
First published date: June 18, 2022


Europe was once actively involved in the “boycott of Chinese cotton” movement. Europe was also actively involved in the “China blames China for the pandemic” narrative. Even if the basis for these two actions is absurd, it is not the reason why China changed its policy toward Europe.
For more than 30 years, China has supported Europe as a strong and unified political force. The underlying reason for this is that a strong and unified Europe would help China alleviate political and military pressure from the United States.
However, one prospect has become clear: in the drama of conflict between China and the United States, a colonized Europe will absolutely be a burden to China, not an aid.
China will certainly change its fundamental policy of supporting a strong and unified Europe. Even instigating, intervening in, expanding, and prolonging chaos in Europe will be a key tactic for China. This would weaken the United States’ ability to sustain a protracted war. It’s even possible that this plan is already in China’s toolbox.


9. 2022 marked the beginning of Europe’s decline.
First published date: June 18, 2022


A war broke out in 2022. European countries actively participated in a war that divided and weakened themselves, thus beginning Europe’s path to decline. This war caused Europe enormous losses in the following areas.
9.1 Europe has lost its geostrategic depth;
9.2 Europe lost its raw material supply base;
9.3 Europe is mired in prolonged chaos;
9.4 Europe became a colony;
9.5 Europe lost a historic opportunity to settle oil and gas transactions in euros.
9.6 Europe will face Russia’s hostility in the short to medium term (50 to 100 years).
9.7 China and the Arab world no longer support Europe as a major geopolitical force.


10. Local countries send troops into the Russian-Ukrainian battlefield.
First published date: June 18, 2022


It is a fundamental fact that Ukraine cannot resist Russian armed forces. Financial and equipment support from the United States and major European powers alone cannot sustain Ukraine’s resistance against Russia. Armed forces from Ukraine’s neighboring countries are a major pillar in maintaining this protracted war.
Importantly, Ukraine’s neighbors are willing to actively participate in this war.
These countries intervened in the Russo-Ukrainian war not for Ukraine’s sake. They did so for their own national interests. The surrounding countries of Ukraine are among the few that can benefit from this war.


11. China will launch a cross-strait reunification action in 2026.
First published date: June 18, 2022


Prediction: China will launch a cross-strait reunification operation in 2026. The operation could begin any day between April and September. However, it is almost certain that the military operation will end before the end of October. Other major powers are powerless to stop, delay, or reverse this operation.


12. The G2 era will begin in 2026.
First published date: June 18, 2022


Prediction: China will launch a cross-strait reunification action in 2026. Other major powers are powerless to stop, delay, or reverse this action. This action officially heralds the arrival of the G2 era.


13. China’s nuclear forces
First published date: June 18, 2022


China will reveal its credible nuclear force around the end of 2025. It will possess approximately 3,000 nuclear warheads and corresponding delivery vehicles. The purpose of revealing this credible nuclear force is to preemptively eliminate nuclear options from the potential scenario of a Sino-US conflict.
The author argues that from a military perspective, 1,000 nuclear warheads would be sufficient to remove nuclear options from the script of a Sino-US conflict. However, preparing 3,000 is necessary to eliminate nuclear options from the votes and public opinion of American voters.


14. Taiwan has lost the opportunity for “one country, two systems”.
First published date: October 3, 2022


China’s negotiating proposal was clearly put forward on August 10, 2022. The author argues that no one in Taiwan will be authorized to accept these clear frameworks from China. Therefore, the author infers that Taiwan has completely lost its chance for “one country, two systems.”
Even if Taiwanese military personnel defect on the front lines, it is impossible for the mainland to back down on these principles.
If the opportunity arises, Taiwan may gain some leeway in governance at the township level and below. However, the possibility of stricter governance of Taiwan by the mainland cannot be ruled out.


15. Two to three cross-sea passages will connect Taiwan and mainland China.
First published date: October 3, 2022


From a historical perspective, removing Taiwan’s maritime rights is the most cost-effective solution for governing Taiwan. China would then no longer need to incur significant costs (primarily political costs) in defending Taiwan.
Moreover, this plan offers considerable room for political maneuvering.
This plan not only eliminates Taiwan’s maritime rights but also significantly reduces the maritime rights of Japan and South Korea. This would benefit China in maintaining its land-based power structure at low cost.


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