War in Need

Abstract.

At least three of the four anchors for world peace have fallen into chaos. All 4 anchors are in chaos under a slightly stricter standard. War, the last political means, is already on the table for the world’s top powers. Picking up the military tool has become tempting to more and more national leaders to deal with their issues.

The United States, China, Europe, and the Arab world can be identified as the four main anchors of world peace. Regardless of the actual strength and historical trajectory, these four poles have a great influence on world peace and stability. Their stability or chaos will overflow their own geographical boundaries and then radiate outward.

United States: Since the Subprime mortgage crisis in 2007, political stability has not been restored in the USA. The U.S. government has been doing its best to steer this super big ship. For the past 15 years, its basic course has been fairly correct. However, the stabilizer of this supper ship is becoming weaker and weaker due to the following three major factors. Driven by the habit of war dividends, the USA will continue to promote the intensity and scope of wars.

Europe: Originally, Europe has been a major political stabilizer in recent decades. But since the “2022 war” (I mean the war started on February 24,2022 in Ukraine. I will call it the “2022 war” from today, because it is not a war for Russia and Ukraine only), Europe has fallen into instability. I will predict that Europe will continue to experience instability for at least the next fifty years. The colonized attributes(link to) over Europe will become heavier and more obvious. The ability to avoid war is getting weaker and weaker.

China: Originally, China is a typical example of world development and world peace. But it is clear that since Trump pushed the US-first policy in 2018, the Chinese economy has entered an unstable cycle. Inward investment in infrastructure construction, investment in military industry, and outward expansion of the economic market have become China’s main work directions. Using military force to stop the U.S. economic blockade has increasingly become a “correct choice.” For this option, the Chinese have more and more confidence.

The Arab world: The Arab world recently can be counted as a stable pole under slightly strict standards. But the fact is that Iraq, Libya, Syria, Iran, Afghanistan, Yemen, and Sudan are not politically stable countries. It is very easy to drive the Arab world into chaos or war. The Arab world had expected the Soviet Union to intervene in Middle East affairs since the day Israel was founded. Now they broadly expect China to intervene in Arab affairs to balance American power. Very similar to Africa, the major public opinion in the Arab world has the urge to overthrow the American system.

Sorry for the delay of the main content. Recently only one part-time guy works to run this website.

Keywords

War, Peace, Stabilizer

New Concepts

 Four main anchors of world peace.

They are the USA, China, Europe, and the Arab World.

2022 War.

Author names the “2022 War” as which started on Feb. 24, 2022 in Ukraine, because the war actually is not for Russia and Ukraine only. 

War is the main tool for the USA to manage the world and benefit itself.

The colonized Europe is weak to avoid war, and will be weaker and weaker.

China will be closer and prefer military tools. Chinese have the capability to stop, to defeat American in a long-term war.

Major public opinion in the Arab World and Africa is to turnover the American System.

( Main content Coming Soon)

[Sorry for the delay of the main content. Recently only one part-time guy works to run this website.]

Similar Posts

  • Three Theoretical Ceasefire Lines in the Russian-Ukrainian War

    Two certain losers, Ukraine and the EU, are there produced already from the Russia-Ukraine War. Europe as a whole has lost its position and prospect to be one of the top polar underpinning the world. Ukraine has lost its power over its territory more than it had done before the war started. Worse yet, it might lose its construction frame as a whole country. One certain winner there is Russia because it will strongly stand at its bottom line.The USA is the biggest winner recently. China has also gained a lot.

  • Three Possible Ceasefire Lines of Russia-Ukraine War

    In the Russia-Ukraine War, the greatest force in determining ceasefire lines is the United States, although Russia, Western Europe and China are also important background factors. Theoretically, there are three ceasefire lines. The first is the geographical boundary along the Dnieper River and the Black Sea coastline. It can also be defined as the western border of the battlefield. The second is the complete administrative boundary of the Lugansk and Donetsk regions. This line also serves as the eastern border wall of the Russia-Ukraine War. The third set of ceasefire lines is any arbitrary arc drawn in a wide area between the L1 line and the L2 line. If the US are to pursue only a limited outcome in this Russia-Ukraine War and do not want to involve more countries directly, then it would have enough initiative to draw a stable ceasefire line somewhere along the L1, L2 or even L3 lines. For Russia, a ceasefire line on the L1 and L2 lines would have a more certain prospect than the uncertainty of the L3 line. Ukraine is not willing to accept the L1 line. The big reasons for the L2 line being there as a ceaseline and border wall are listed following, including the US has an overwhelming advantage in Russia-Ukraine War; this line will not be too bed to result in a major political defeat for Russia; and China would support this line as a bottom line to block NATO.

  • Players winning or losing in Russia-Ukraine War

    Two certain losers, Ukraine and the EU, are there produced already from the Russia-Ukraine War. Europe as a whole has lost its position and prospect to be one of the top polar underpinning the world. Ukraine has lost its power over its territory more than it had done before the war started. Worse yet, it might lose its construction frame as a whole country. One certain winner there is Russia because it will strongly stand at its bottom line.The USA is the biggest winner recently. China has also gained a lot.

  • Whose War? Winners and Losers in the Russian-Ukrainian War

    Two certain losers, Ukraine and the EU, are there produced already from the Russia-Ukraine War. Europe as a whole has lost its position and prospect to be one of the top polar underpinning the world. Ukraine has lost its power over its territory more than it had done before the war started. Worse yet, it might lose its construction frame as a whole country. One certain winner there is Russia because it will strongly stand at its bottom line.The USA is the biggest winner recently. China has also gained a lot.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *