War in Need

This is Ye Qiquan’s personal blog. Ye Qiquan is known to his friends as “Crazy Ye.” He is renowned for making outrageous political predictions. His major political forecasts often run counter to—or are even completely at odds with—those of professional politicians, political forecasting agencies, national intelligence agencies, news organizations, and prominent political commentators. Unfortunately, his anti-establishment, anti-institutional, and anti-expert political predictions are frequently validated by the course of history.
As early as 2003, 2014, and 2019, he repeatedly warned that the UK’s approach to Hong Kong affairs “did not meet the strategic standards expected of a long-established empire.” This could lead to the UK losing its political presence and intelligence base in Hong Kong before 2047. No one wanted to hear it, and no one wanted to believe it. In this political prediction and foresight, he effectively outsmarted the entire intelligence community, diplomatic corps, and government agencies of both the United States and the United Kingdom.
In his assessment that Xi Jinping was a hard-line politician, he outpaced the collective political forecasting institutions and experts of the West by at least six years. He also issued an early warning in March 2025—when Xi Jinping was at the peak of his power—that Xi might face significant risks.
Regarding Hu Jintao’s complete failure, he made a clear assessment at least 10 years in advance (before the end of Hu’s term). In a letter submitted to Chinese diplomats in September 2025, at a time when China was in political turmoil, he even explicitly stated that “in complex situations, one cannot rely on Hu Jintao to achieve success.”
In September 2025, his assessment of China’s political situation was that “all three political forces in China face complex dilemmas.” “The faction holding the moral high ground, the military, and other political forces with different backgrounds” all faced serious difficulties. They all needed to find “deep, comprehensive, and complex entry and exit points.” In January 2026, he reiterated that all three factions in China needed to find complex, in-depth, and difficult-to-deconstruct cooperative solutions to save themselves. None of the three factions had completely perished, nor had any clearly and definitively survived.

In fact, it was the war in Ukraine that revived “Crazy Ye.” Because of this war, he became convinced that his political talent far surpassed that of the world’s major politicians and national leaders. When the war was just two, three, and four months old, he put forward a series of political predictions. These major predictions have been gradually validated by the course of the war over nearly four years. Had the relevant nations heeded his predictions, the European region could have saved at least hundreds of billions of dollars in wasted expenditures.

“Crazy Ye’s” shortcomings are evident. He cannot react swiftly to current events because he has no access to internal information sources. Some of his long-term predictions also conflict with his own inferred scenarios in terms of details. However, it is precisely this approach to thinking—one that does not rely on internal information sources—that ultimately allows him to outperform numerous national government agencies, intelligence services, and major political think tanks in political forecasting and long-term predictions.

Doctoral students in political science, philosophy, and military strategy, along with their advisors, are encouraged to follow “Mad Ye’s” related websites. Long-term political investors, government agencies, policy-making bodies, industrial investors engaged in long-term investments, and even short-term venture capital firms are all welcome to purchase “Mad Ye’s” products. Customized products are available upon request.
pppbook.net This is an online bookstore operating in conjunction with this website. It offers the professional works of Ye Qiquan (Crazy Ye).