{"id":4310,"date":"2023-04-03T20:11:11","date_gmt":"2023-04-04T01:11:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/pppnet.net\/?p=3933"},"modified":"2023-04-24T01:27:14","modified_gmt":"2023-04-24T06:27:14","slug":"early-prophecy-on-confined-walls-in-russia-ukraine-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pppnet.net\/en\/early-prophecy-on-confined-walls-in-russia-ukraine-war\/","title":{"rendered":"Back on April 26, 2022, Predicting the Border Wall in the Russian-Ukrainian War"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"2022%E5%B9%B44%E6%9C%8826%E6%97%A5%E7%9A%84%E6%8F%90%E4%BA%A4%E8%A8%98%E9%8C%84\"><\/span><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Record of Submission April 26, 2022<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<div id='gallery-1' class='gallery galleryid-4310 gallery-columns-3 gallery-size-thumbnail'><figure class='gallery-item'>\n\t\t\t<div class='gallery-icon landscape'>\n\t\t\t\t<a href='https:\/\/pppnet.net\/en\/walls-in-russia-ukraine-war-predicted-on-april-26-2022\/22-04-26-59k\/'><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/pppnet.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/22-04-26-59K-150x150.png\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"Confined Walls in Russia-Ukraine War\/from PPPNET\" aria-describedby=\"gallery-1-3857\" \/><\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<figcaption class='wp-caption-text gallery-caption' id='gallery-1-3857'>\n\t\t\t\tApril 26, 2022, predicted Russia-Ukraine War will be confined on two border walls\n\t\t\t\t<\/figcaption><\/figure><figure class='gallery-item'>\n\t\t\t<div class='gallery-icon landscape'>\n\t\t\t\t<a href='https:\/\/pppnet.net\/en\/walls-in-russia-ukraine-war-predicted-on-april-26-2022\/3linemay23\/'><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/pppnet.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/3lineMay23-150x150.png\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"3 ceasefire lines\/from PPPNET\" aria-describedby=\"gallery-1-3858\" \/><\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<figcaption class='wp-caption-text gallery-caption' id='gallery-1-3858'>\n\t\t\t\tMay 23, 2022, Three ceasefire lines in Russia-Ukraine War\n\t\t\t\t<\/figcaption><\/figure><figure class='gallery-item'>\n\t\t\t<div class='gallery-icon landscape'>\n\t\t\t\t<a href='https:\/\/pppnet.net\/en\/early-prophecy-on-confined-walls-in-russia-ukraine-war\/cn2walls\/'><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/pppnet.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/cn2walls-150x150.png\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail\" alt=\"Ukraine War Trend Prediction by2026 BY PPPNET\" aria-describedby=\"gallery-1-4528\" \/><\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<figcaption class='wp-caption-text gallery-caption' id='gallery-1-4528'>\n\t\t\t\tBattlefield Border Walls and Theater Trends Imagined \/ Russo-Ukrainian War \/ PPPNET\n\t\t\t\t<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The original article has been lost. Accidentally found a submission that shows that the earliest prediction of the border wall for the Russian-Ukrainian war was on April 26, 2022. This time is about the end of the first stage of the special Russian military campaign.<br \/>\nThere are three key points to this record submission.<\/p><div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_83 ez-toc-wrap-right counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-light-blue ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewbox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewbox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseprofile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/pppnet.net\/en\/early-prophecy-on-confined-walls-in-russia-ukraine-war\/#2022%E5%B9%B44%E6%9C%8826%E6%97%A5%E7%9A%84%E6%8F%90%E4%BA%A4%E8%A8%98%E9%8C%84\" >Record of Submission April 26, 2022<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/pppnet.net\/en\/early-prophecy-on-confined-walls-in-russia-ukraine-war\/#%E4%B8%89%E5%80%8B%E8%A6%81%E9%BB%9E%EF%BC%9A\" >Three key points:<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/pppnet.net\/en\/early-prophecy-on-confined-walls-in-russia-ukraine-war\/#1_%E7%90%86%E8%AB%96%E4%B8%8A%E6%9C%89%E4%B8%89%E6%A2%9D%E5%81%9C%E7%81%AB%E7%B7%9A\" >1. There are three theoretical ceasefire lines<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/pppnet.net\/en\/early-prophecy-on-confined-walls-in-russia-ukraine-war\/#2_%E7%BE%8E%E5%9C%8B%E6%98%AF%E5%81%9C%E7%81%AB%E5%95%8F%E9%A1%8C%E4%B8%8A%E7%9A%84%E6%9C%80%E5%BC%B7%E5%A4%A7%E7%9A%84%E5%8A%9B%E9%87%8F\" >2. The United States is the strongest force on the ceasefire issue.<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/pppnet.net\/en\/early-prophecy-on-confined-walls-in-russia-ukraine-war\/#3_%E5%8D%B0%E5%BA%A6%E7%9A%84%E5%88%86%E9%87%8F%E5%BE%88%E9%87%8D\" >3. India carries a lot of weight<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/pppnet.net\/en\/early-prophecy-on-confined-walls-in-russia-ukraine-war\/#%E7%B8%BD%E7%B5%90%EF%BC%9A\" >Conclusion:<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/pppnet.net\/en\/early-prophecy-on-confined-walls-in-russia-ukraine-war\/#%E9%99%84%E8%A8%BB\" >Notes.<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n\n<h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E4%B8%89%E5%80%8B%E8%A6%81%E9%BB%9E%EF%BC%9A\"><\/span><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Three key points:<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"1_%E7%90%86%E8%AB%96%E4%B8%8A%E6%9C%89%E4%B8%89%E6%A2%9D%E5%81%9C%E7%81%AB%E7%B7%9A\"><\/span>1. There are three theoretical ceasefire lines<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">(Isn't it too early to predict a ceasefire when the war has just begun!)<br \/>\n1.1 The L1 line is bounded by the Dnieper River. (The Black Sea coast had not been discussed at that time). It was only on May 23, 2022 that I first mentioned the Black Sea coast as part of the L1 ceasefire line.<br \/>\n1.2 Line L2 is the full administrative boundary between Donetsk and Luhansk.<br \/>\n1.3 Line L3 is any ceasefire line located between lines L1 and L2.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"2_%E7%BE%8E%E5%9C%8B%E6%98%AF%E5%81%9C%E7%81%AB%E5%95%8F%E9%A1%8C%E4%B8%8A%E7%9A%84%E6%9C%80%E5%BC%B7%E5%A4%A7%E7%9A%84%E5%8A%9B%E9%87%8F\"><\/span>2. The United States is the strongest force on the ceasefire issue.<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">2.1 It was pointed out at the time that the most powerful force in deciding whether and where to have a ceasefire was the United States, and no one else (with the exception of Russia, the European Union and China specifically listed).<br \/>\n2.1 If the US's main objective is to weaken Russia, weaken the EU, and block Russia's ties with the EU, the US will choose a relatively stable ceasefire line between the L1 and L2 lines.<br \/>\n2.2 If the main aim of the US is to keep weakening Russia, weakening the EU and creating long-term chaos in Europe, then the US will opt for an unstable ceasefire line on the L3 line.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"3_%E5%8D%B0%E5%BA%A6%E7%9A%84%E5%88%86%E9%87%8F%E5%BE%88%E9%87%8D\"><\/span>3. India carries a lot of weight<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>If India were to intervene in this mess, it would pose a huge risk to all parties involved and could even lead to a third world war.<\/p>\n<p>(What is the basis for this prophecy? I am a bit confused now. But in the May 23, 2022 manuscript, I mentioned the following. If India turns around and joins in the sanctions against Russia, it will encourage the US to disassociate itself from China. Then the US will have more confidence to divide the whole world into two parallel parts).<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E7%B8%BD%E7%B5%90%EF%BC%9A\"><\/span><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Conclusion:<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">1. Both the battle and the ceasefire will take place within two closed walls (between the L1 and L2 lines).<br \/>\n2. There will be a ceasefire.<br \/>\n3. The ceasefire at the two boundary walls is relatively stable.<br \/>\n4. The ceasefire between the two boundary walls is unstable.<br \/>\n5. The decisive force on the battlefield is the United States and no other country.<br \/>\n6. The aims of the war included weakening the EU, weakening Russia, and breaking the link between the EU and Russia.<br \/>\n7. The purpose of the war does not exclude that the United States will continue to weaken the EU, weaken Russia, and continue to perpetuate the chaos in Europe.<br \/>\n8. India carries so much weight that it could trigger World War III. (Note: Obviously, since the May 23, 2022 submission, I have greatly reduced the weight of India. I don't remember the basis for this judgment lately. Sorry!)<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E9%99%84%E8%A8%BB\"><\/span>Notes.<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">In any case, at least my prediction that the Russian-Ukrainian conflict will be confined between L1 and L2 is still not out of date. Of course, I'm getting more conservative now, so I included a time-bound adverb in a recent post, \u201dat least until the end of 2026.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The prediction that the United States is committed to weakening the EU has largely been confirmed.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2022\u5e744\u670826\u65e5\u7684\u63d0\u4ea4\u8a18\u9304 \u539f\u6587\u5df2\u7d93\u4f5a\u5931. \u610f\u5916\u767c\u73fe\u4e00\u689d\u63d0\u4ea4\u8a18\u9304\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u5c0d\u4fc4\u70cf\u6230\u722d\u7684\u908a\u754c\u7246\u7684\u6700\u65e9\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u662f\u57282&#8230;<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_kad_post_transparent":"","_kad_post_title":"","_kad_post_layout":"","_kad_post_sidebar_id":"","_kad_post_content_style":"","_kad_post_vertical_padding":"","_kad_post_feature":"","_kad_post_feature_position":"","_kad_post_header":false,"_kad_post_footer":false,"_kad_post_classname":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4310","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-2022war"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/pppnet.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4310","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/pppnet.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/pppnet.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pppnet.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pppnet.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4310"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/pppnet.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4310\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4529,"href":"https:\/\/pppnet.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4310\/revisions\/4529"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/pppnet.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4310"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pppnet.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4310"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pppnet.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4310"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}